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Haven's avatar

Hi Michael, I appreciate your tackling this sensitive and timely climate topic. I've sent an invitation for pre-launch book activities to your Substack email address. Thanks for considering, and thanks for bringing awareness to the issues. /Haven Bourque

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Ivo Sarjanovic's avatar

Dear Michael,

In your recent NYT article, you state that the world will need to produce 50% more calories by 2050. However, setting aside the discussion on population growth, the USDA article you reference in the footnotes doesn’t appear to support this claim.

The authors indicate that calorie production would need to grow by 47% from 2011 to 2050. When accounting for the 2011–2024 period, the required increase from now to 2050 drops to approximately 30%. While 30% is still a significant figure, it’s not 50%. Additionally, with slowing population growth and aging demographics, even the 30% estimate may be an overstatement.

Best regards,

Ivo

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